Nigeria's incidence of malaria (per 1,000 population at risk) was 294.25 in 2024, the latest year in the World Bank's World Development Indicators. That is up 2.28% from 287.7 in 2014 (0.23% a year on average, compounded).
Key figures
| Value | Year | |
|---|---|---|
| Latest | 294.25 | 2024 |
| Five years earlier | 293 | 2019 |
| Ten years earlier | 287.7 | 2014 |
| Highest | 402.01 | 2008 |
| Lowest | 283.81 | 2015 |
| Average since 2015 | 293.76 | 2015–2024 |
| First recorded | 401.79 | 2000 |
What the numbers say
In 2024, Nigeria's incidence of malaria (per 1,000 population at risk) fell 4.75 on 2023 (from 299 to 294.25).
Across the 23 yearly changes before that (2001 to 2023), the average change was −4.47 and a typical year strayed about 10.59 from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.0 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.
On record, the biggest yearly rise was 11.37 in 2020 and the biggest yearly fall was 26.6 in 2010. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.
From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is upward, about 1.69 a year. A straight line explains 58% of the movement over 10 observed years.
Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.
How it compares
In 2024, Nigeria had the 10th highest value of the 105 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.
| Value | Year | |
|---|---|---|
| Nigeria | 294.25 | 2024 |
| World | 64.04 | 2024 |
| Sub-Saharan Africa | 229.26 | 2024 |
| Lower middle income | 56.59 | 2024 |
Closest to Nigeria in the 2024 ranking
- Niger — 7th of 105: 305.14
- Mozambique — 8th of 105: 295.1
- Malawi — 9th of 105: 294.53
- Guinea — 11th of 105: 286.08
- Sierra Leone — 12th of 105: 282.67
- Côte d'Ivoire — 13th of 105: 267.95
What this measures
Incidence of malaria is the number of new cases of malaria in a year per 1,000 population at risk.
Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a weighted average.
All 25 values
| Year | Incidence of malaria (per 1,000 population at risk) |
|---|---|
| 2024 | 294.25 |
| 2023 | 299 |
| 2022 | 299 |
| 2021 | 299.27 |
| 2020 | 304.37 |
| 2019 | 293 |
| 2018 | 291.07 |
| 2017 | 288.98 |
| 2016 | 284.83 |
| 2015 | 283.81 |
| 2014 |
Incidence of malaria (per 1,000 population at risk) in nearby economies
- Angola — 258.9 (2024)
- Benin — 354.25 (2024)
- Botswana — 0.2 (2024)
- Burkina Faso — 353.49 (2024)
- Burundi — 314.9 (2024)
- Cabo Verde — 0.14 (2024)
- Cameroon — 260.46 (2024)
- Central African Republic — 343.84 (2024)
- Chad — 206.14 (2024)
- Comoros
More health data for Nigeria
- Population ages 00-04, female (% of female population) — 14.4% (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male (% of male population) — 14.42% (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, female — 47.42 million (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, female (% of female population) — 40.41% (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, male — 48.82 million (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, male (% of male population) — 40.62% (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, total — 96.25 million (2025)
- Population ages 0-14 (% of total population) — 40.52% (2025)
- Population ages 05-09, female (% of female population) — 13.33% (2025)
Reading data like this
Questions people ask
- What is Nigeria's incidence of malaria (per 1,000 population at risk)?
- 294.25 in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).
- How has it changed since 2000?
- It is down 26.77% from 401.79 in 2000 (1.29% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 402.01 in 2008 and the lowest 283.81 in 2015.
- How does Nigeria rank?
- 10th highest of 105 economies with data for 2024.
- Is the latest change in incidence of malaria (per 1,000 population at risk) unusual for Nigeria?
- In 2024, Nigeria's incidence of malaria (per 1,000 population at risk) fell 4.75 on 2023 (from 299 to 294.25). Across the 23 yearly changes before that (2001 to 2023), the average change was −4.47 and a typical year strayed about 10.59 from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.0 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.
Source
World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SH.MLR.INCD.P3, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Global Health Observatory Data Repository/World Health Statistics, World Health Organization (WHO), uri: http://apps.who.int/ghodata/ Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.
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