Equatorial Guinea: Incidence of malaria (per 1,000 population at risk)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2024, Equatorial Guinea's incidence of malaria (per 1,000 population at risk) fell 2.08 on 2023 (from 229.81 to 227.73).

Across the 23 yearly changes before that (2001 to 2023), the average change was −4.54 and a typical year strayed about 14.13 from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.2 standard deviations above that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 21.94 in 2012 and the biggest yearly fall was 29.47 in 2009. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is downward, about 11.57 a year. A straight line explains 87% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 176.63 for 2027. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2022 to 2024 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 2.82, against 7.88 for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

In 2024, Equatorial Guinea had the 21st highest value of the 105 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Equatorial Guinea in the 2024 ranking

• South Sudan — 18th of 105: 254.08
• Zambia — 19th of 105: 252.41
• Togo — 20th of 105: 249.25
• Solomon Islands — 22nd of 105: 224.28
• Congo, Rep. — 23rd of 105: 221.02
• Chad — 24th of 105: 206.14

What this measures

Incidence of malaria is the number of new cases of malaria in a year per 1,000 population at risk.

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a weighted average.

All 25 values

Incidence of malaria (per 1,000 population at risk) in nearby economies

• Angola — 258.9 (2024)
• Benin — 354.25 (2024)
• Botswana — 0.2 (2024)
• Burkina Faso — 353.49 (2024)
• Burundi — 314.9 (2024)
• Cabo Verde — 0.14 (2024)
• Cameroon — 260.46 (2024)
• Central African Republic — 343.84 (2024)
• Chad — 206.14 (2024)
• Comoros

More health data for Equatorial Guinea

• Population ages 00-04, female (% of female population) — 14.01% (2025)
• Population ages 00-04, male (% of male population) — 12.86% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female — 356,050 (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female (% of female population) — 38.82% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male — 362,847 (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male (% of male population) — 35.53% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, total — 718,897 (2025)
• Population ages 0-14 (% of total population) — 37.09% (2025)
• Population ages 05-09, female (% of female population)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Equatorial Guinea's incidence of malaria (per 1,000 population at risk)?

227.73 in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 2000?

It is down 31.88% from 334.3 in 2000 (1.59% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 357.64 in 2005 and the lowest 227.73 in 2024.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SH.MLR.INCD.P3, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Global Health Observatory Data Repository/World Health Statistics, World Health Organization (WHO), uri: http://apps.who.int/ghodata/ Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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