Late-demographic dividend: Persistence to last grade of primary, total (% of cohort)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2021, Late-demographic dividend's persistence to last grade of primary, total (% of cohort) fell 0.09 percentage points on 2020 (from 95.55% to 95.46%).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1991 to 2020), the average change was +0.45 percentage points and a typical year strayed about 2.96 percentage points from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.2 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 11.58 percentage points in 2014 and the biggest yearly fall was 4.26 percentage points in 2013. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2012 to 2021 the straight-line trend is upward, about 1.38 percentage points a year. A straight line explains 63% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

How it compares

See how every economy compares in the full ranking.

What this measures

Persistence to last grade of primary is the percentage of children enrolled in the first grade of primary school who eventually reach the last grade of primary education. The estimate is based on the reconstructed cohort method.

Limitations: The estimates have limitations in capturing real trend in that an observed rate will be applied to the underlying indicators such as repetition rate and promotion rate throughout the cohort life, and re-entrants, grade skipping, migration or transfers during a school year are not adequately captured.

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a weighted average.

All 35 values

Persistence to last grade of primary, total (% of cohort) in nearby economies

• Algeria — 92.68% (2021)
• Bahrain — 96.42% (2023)
• Djibouti — 72.68% (2022)
• Egypt, Arab Rep. — 99.75% (2020)
• Iran, Islamic Rep. — 94.67% (2022)
• Israel — 98.18% (2023)
• Jordan — 95.19% (2023)
• Kuwait — 85.74% (2020)
• Lebanon — 92.7% (2022)

More education data for Late-demographic dividend

• Primary education, duration (years) — 5 (2025)
• Secondary education, duration (years) — 7 (2025)
• Primary education, pupils — 173.78 million (2024)
• School enrollment, primary (% gross) — 100.27% (2024)
• Primary education, teachers — 10.38 million (2024)
• Secondary education, pupils — 177.18 million (2024)
• School enrollment, secondary (% gross) — 94.17% (2024)
• Secondary education, teachers — 13.43 million (2024)
• School enrollment, tertiary (% gross) — 69.36% (2024)

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Questions people ask

What is Late-demographic dividend's persistence to last grade of primary, total (% of cohort)?

95.46% in 2021, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1987?

It is up 18.49 percentage points from 76.96% in 1987. The highest value was 95.65% in 2019 and the lowest 76.96% in 1987.

Is the latest change in persistence to last grade of primary, total (% of cohort) unusual for Late-demographic dividend?

In 2021, Late-demographic dividend's persistence to last grade of primary, total (% of cohort) fell 0.09 percentage points on 2020 (from 95.55% to 95.46%). Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1991 to 2020), the average change was +0.45 percentage points and a typical year strayed about 2.96 percentage points from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.2 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SE.PRM.PRSL.ZS, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Data API, UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), uri: https://databrowser.uis.unesco.org/resources, note: The data are obtained through the UIS API. Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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