Late-demographic dividend: Mortality rate, under-5 (per 1,000 live births)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2024, Late-demographic dividend's mortality rate, under-5 (per 1,000 live births) fell 0.34 on 2023 (from 9.32 to 8.99).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1994 to 2023), the average change was −1.24 and a typical year strayed about 0.74 from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 1.2 standard deviations above that average, so it was larger than a typical year, though not out of the range seen before.

On record, the biggest yearly fall was 2.9 in 2003. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is downward, about 0.34 a year. A straight line explains 95% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

How it compares

See how every economy compares in the full ranking.

What this measures

Under-five mortality rate is the probability per 1,000 that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five, if subject to age-specific mortality rates of the specified year.

Limitations: Complete vital registration systems are fairly uncommon in developing countries. Thus estimates must be obtained from sample surveys or derived by applying indirect estimation techniques to registration, census, or survey data. Survey data are subject to recall error, and surveys estimating infant/child deaths require large samples because households in which a birth has occurred during a given year cannot ordinarily be preselected for sampling. Indirect estimates rely on model life tables that may be inappropriate for the population concerned. Extrapolations based on outdated surveys may not be reliable for monitoring changes in health status or for comparative analytical work.

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a weighted average.

All 35 values

Mortality rate, under-5 (per 1,000 live births) in nearby economies

• Afghanistan — 53 (2024)
• Algeria — 21.6 (2024)
• Bahrain — 8.8 (2024)
• Djibouti — 48.9 (2024)
• Egypt, Arab Rep. — 22.4 (2024)
• Iran, Islamic Rep. — 11.3 (2024)
• Iraq — 21.8 (2024)
• Israel — 3.3 (2024)
• Jordan — 12.9 (2024)
• Kuwait — 8.1 (2024)

More health data for Late-demographic dividend

• Population ages 00-04, female (% of female population) — 4.21% (2025)
• Population ages 00-04, male (% of male population) — 4.5% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female — 188.58 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female (% of female population) — 16.25% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male — 207.27 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male (% of male population) — 17.71% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, total — 395.85 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14 (% of total population) — 16.99% (2025)
• Population ages 05-09, female (% of female population)

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Questions people ask

What is Late-demographic dividend's mortality rate, under-5 (per 1,000 live births)?

8.99 in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1990?

It is down 82.18% from 50.43 in 1990 (4.95% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 50.43 in 1990 and the lowest 8.99 in 2024.

Is the latest change in mortality rate, under-5 (per 1,000 live births) unusual for Late-demographic dividend?

In 2024, Late-demographic dividend's mortality rate, under-5 (per 1,000 live births) fell 0.34 on 2023 (from 9.32 to 8.99). Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1994 to 2023), the average change was −1.24 and a typical year strayed about 0.74 from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 1.2 standard deviations above that average, so it was larger than a typical year, though not out of the range seen before.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SH.DYN.MORT, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF), uri: www.childmortality.org, publisher: UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, United Nations Population Division; World Health Organization (WHO), uri: www.childmortality.org, note: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estima… Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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