Kenya's discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) was 159.48 billion in 2025, the latest year in the World Bank's World Development Indicators. That is up 1,119% from -15.65 billion in 2020.
Key figures
| Value | Year | |
|---|---|---|
| Latest | 159.48 billion | 2025 |
| Five years earlier | -15.65 billion | 2020 |
| Highest | 412.06 billion | 2022 |
| Lowest | -15.65 billion | 2020 |
| Average since 2016 | 152 billion | 2016–2025 |
| First recorded | 1.1 million | 2016 |
Over five years it is up 1,119% from -15.65 billion in 2020. Since 2016 it is up 14.5 million% from 1.1 million in 2016 (274.52% a year on average, compounded).
What the numbers say
In 2025, Kenya's discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) fell 76.49 billion on 2024 (from 235.97 billion to 159.48 billion).
Across the 8 yearly changes before that (2017 to 2024), the average change was +29.5 billion and a typical year strayed about 135.61 billion from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.8 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.
On record, the biggest yearly rise was 221.04 billion in 2022 and the biggest yearly fall was 149.07 billion in 2024. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.
From 2016 to 2025 the straight-line trend is upward, about 35.89 billion a year. A straight line explains 48% of the movement over 10 observed years.
Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.
How it compares
In 2025, Kenya had the 7th highest value of the 94 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.
Closest to Kenya in the 2025 ranking
What this measures
Although the SNA ensures there is perfect consistency between the three measures of GDP, this is a conceptual consistency that in general does not emerge naturally from data compilations. This is because of the wide disparity of data sources that must be called on and the fact that any error in any source will lead to a difference between at least two of the GDP measures. In practice it is inevitable that many such data errors will exist and will become apparent in exercises such as the balancing of supply and use tables. This indicator is expressed in constant prices, meaning the underlying series have been adjusted to account for price changes over time. The reference year for this adjustment varies by country.
All 10 values
| Year | Discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 159,475,000,000 |
| 2024 | 235,968,000,000 |
| 2023 | 385,042,000,000 |
| 2022 | 412,059,000,000 |
| 2021 | 191,019,000,000 |
| 2020 | -15,654,000,000 |
| 2019 | 98,443,000,000 |
| 2018 | 68,761,200,000 |
| 2017 | -15,163,400,000 |
| 2016 | 1,100,000 |
Discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) in nearby economies
- Angola — 16.86 trillion (2025)
- Benin — 0 (2025)
- Burkina Faso — 35.61 billion (2025)
- Cabo Verde — 2.09 billion (2025)
- Cameroon — -11.25 billion (2025)
- Central African Republic — 382,600 (2025)
- Comoros — 1.89 billion (2025)
- Congo, Dem. Rep. — -3.6 trillion (2025)
- Congo, Rep. — -550.36 billion (2025)
More economic policy & debt data for Kenya
- General government final consumption expenditure (current US$) — US$15.24 billion (2025)
- General government final consumption expenditure (current LCU) — 1.97 trillion (2025)
- General government final consumption expenditure (constant 2015 US$) — US$14.8 billion (2025)
- General government final consumption expenditure (constant LCU) — 1.51 trillion (2025)
- General government final consumption expenditure (% of GDP) — 11.21% (2025)
- Households and NPISHs final consumption expenditure (current US$) — US$104.6 billion (2025)
- Households and NPISHs final consumption expenditure (current LCU) — 13.52 trillion (2025)
- Households and NPISHs final consumption expenditure (constant 2015 US$)
Reading data like this
Questions people ask
- What is Kenya's discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU)?
- 159.48 billion in 2025, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).
- How has it changed since 2016?
- It is up 14.5 million% from 1.1 million in 2016 (274.52% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 412.06 billion in 2022 and the lowest -15.65 billion in 2020.
- How does Kenya rank?
- 7th highest of 94 economies with data for 2025.
- Is the latest change in discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) unusual for Kenya?
- In 2025, Kenya's discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) fell 76.49 billion on 2024 (from 235.97 billion to 159.48 billion). Across the 8 yearly changes before that (2017 to 2024), the average change was +29.5 billion and a typical year strayed about 135.61 billion from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.8 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.
Source
World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator NY.GDP.DISC.KN, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Country official statistics, National Statistical Organizations and/or Central Banks; National Accounts data files, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Staff estimates, World Bank (WB) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.
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