Ethiopia: Discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU)

Key figures

Over five years it is up 626.98% from 21.21 billion in 2020 (48.7% a year on average, compounded). Since 2016 it is up 127.32% from 67.82 billion in 2016 (9.55% a year on average, compounded).

What the numbers say

In 2025, Ethiopia's discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) rose 53.19 billion on 2024 (from 100.97 billion to 154.16 billion).

Across the 8 yearly changes before that (2017 to 2024), the average change was +4.14 billion and a typical year strayed about 55.82 billion from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.9 standard deviations above that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 81.46 billion in 2018 and the biggest yearly fall was 86.96 billion in 2019. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2016 to 2025 the straight-line trend is upward, about 9.3 billion a year. A straight line explains 35% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

How it compares

In 2025, Ethiopia had the 10th highest value of the 94 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Ethiopia in the 2025 ranking

• Nepal — 6th of 94: 257.95 billion
• Kenya — 7th of 94: 159.48 billion
• Mongolia — 8th of 94: 156.28 billion
• Ukraine — 10th of 94: 113.56 billion
• Romania — 11th of 94: 66.04 billion
• Burkina Faso — 12th of 94: 35.61 billion

What this measures

Although the SNA ensures there is perfect consistency between the three measures of GDP, this is a conceptual consistency that in general does not emerge naturally from data compilations. This is because of the wide disparity of data sources that must be called on and the fact that any error in any source will lead to a difference between at least two of the GDP measures. In practice it is inevitable that many such data errors will exist and will become apparent in exercises such as the balancing of supply and use tables. This indicator is expressed in constant prices, meaning the underlying series have been adjusted to account for price changes over time. The reference year for this adjustment varies by country.

All 10 values

Discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) in nearby economies

• Angola — 16.86 trillion (2025)
• Benin — 0 (2025)
• Burkina Faso — 35.61 billion (2025)
• Cabo Verde — 2.09 billion (2025)
• Cameroon — -11.25 billion (2025)
• Central African Republic — 382,600 (2025)
• Comoros — 1.89 billion (2025)
• Congo, Dem. Rep. — -3.6 trillion (2025)
• Congo, Rep. — -550.36 billion (2025)

More economic policy & debt data for Ethiopia

• GDP (current US$) — US$126.36 billion (2025)
• GDP (current LCU) — 15.09 trillion (2025)
• GDP per capita (current US$) — US$932.73 (2025)
• GDP per capita (current LCU) — 111,421 (2025)
• GNI (current US$) — US$126.14 billion (2025)
• GNI (current LCU) — 15.07 trillion (2025)
• GNI per capita (current LCU) — 111,231 (2025)
• Total reserves, including gold (current US$) — US$3.78 billion (2024)
• Total reserves, excluding gold (current US$) — US$3.78 billion (2024)
• GDP (constant 2015 US$) — US$128.07 billion (2025)
• GDP (constant LCU)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
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• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Ethiopia's discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU)?

154.16 billion in 2025, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 2016?

It is up 127.32% from 67.82 billion in 2016 (9.55% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 154.16 billion in 2025 and the lowest -3.09 billion in 2019.

How does Ethiopia rank?

10th highest of 94 economies with data for 2025.

Is the latest change in discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) unusual for Ethiopia?

In 2025, Ethiopia's discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) rose 53.19 billion on 2024 (from 100.97 billion to 154.16 billion). Across the 8 yearly changes before that (2017 to 2024), the average change was +4.14 billion and a typical year strayed about 55.82 billion from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.9 standard deviations above that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator NY.GDP.DISC.KN, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Country official statistics, National Statistical Organizations and/or Central Banks; National Accounts data files, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Staff estimates, World Bank (WB) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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