Pre-demographic dividend: Primary education, pupils

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2024, Pre-demographic dividend's primary education, pupils rose 1.1% on 2023 (from 173.79 million to 175.74 million).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1994 to 2023), the average change was +3.8% and a typical year strayed about 2.1% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 1.3 standard deviations below that average, so it was larger than a typical year, though not out of the range seen before.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 11.2% in 1978 and the biggest yearly fall was 1.7% in 1996. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is upward, about 4.37 million a year. A straight line explains 99% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 189.68 million for 2027. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2022 to 2024 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 1.17 million, against 7.23 million for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

See how every economy compares in the full ranking.

What this measures

Primary education pupils is the total number of pupils enrolled at primary level in public and private schools.

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a sum.

All 55 values

Primary education, pupils in nearby economies

• Afghanistan — 7.51 million (2023)
• Algeria — 5.3 million (2025)
• Bahrain — 122,305 (2024)
• Djibouti — 69,705 (2023)
• Egypt, Arab Rep. — 15.4 million (2024)
• Iran, Islamic Rep. — 9.09 million (2023)
• Israel — 1.05 million (2024)
• Jordan — 1.12 million (2024)
• Kuwait — 265,113 (2021)
• Lebanon — 533,550 (2024)
• Malta — 27,337 (2023)
• Morocco

More education data for Pre-demographic dividend

• Primary education, duration (years) — 6 (2025)
• Secondary education, duration (years) — 6 (2025)
• Primary completion rate, total (% of relevant age group) — 68.83% (2024)
• School enrollment, primary (% gross) — 98.31% (2024)
• School enrollment, primary, female (% gross) — 96.33% (2024)
• School enrollment, primary, male (% gross) — 100.25% (2024)
• Primary education, teachers — 4.66 million (2024)
• Primary education, teachers (% female) — 48.71% (2024)
• Secondary education, pupils

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Pre-demographic dividend's primary education, pupils?

175.74 million in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1970?

It is up 742.97% from 20.85 million in 1970 (4.03% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 175.74 million in 2024 and the lowest 20.85 million in 1970.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SE.PRM.ENRL, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Data API, UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), uri: https://databrowser.uis.unesco.org/resources, note: The data are obtained through the UIS API. Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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