Middle income: Manufacturing, value added (current US$)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2025, Middle income's manufacturing, value added (current US$) rose 4.1% on 2024 (from US$7.94 trillion to US$8.27 trillion).

Across the 20 yearly changes before that (2005 to 2024), the average change was +8.6% and a typical year strayed about 9.2% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.5 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 23.5% in 2021 and the biggest yearly fall was 2.4% in 2015. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2016 to 2025 the straight-line trend is upward, about US$318.39 billion a year. A straight line explains 90% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about US$9.19 trillion for 2028. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2023 to 2025 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was US$60.77 billion, against US$174.42 billion for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

See how every economy compares in the full ranking.

What this measures

Manufacturing includes industries classified in ISIC (Rev. 3) major division C and is defined as the physical or chemical transformation of materials or components into new products. Value added is the contribution to the economy by a producer or an industry or an institutional sector, which is estimated by the total value of output produced and deducting the total value of intermediate consumption of goods and services used to produce that output. This indicator is expressed in current prices, meaning no adjustment has been made to account for price changes over time. This indicator is expressed in United States dollars.

Limitations: In establishing classifications systems compilers must define both the types of activities to be described and the units whose activities are to be reported. There are many possibilities, and the choices affect how the statistics can be interpreted and how useful they are in analyzing economic behavior. The ISIC emphasizes commonalities in the production process and is explicitly not intended to measure outputs (for which there is a newly developed Central Product Classification). Nevertheless, the ISIC views an activity as defined by "a process resulting in a homogeneous set of products."

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a gap-filled total.

All 22 values

Manufacturing, value added (current US$) in nearby economies

• Afghanistan — US$1.5 billion (2024)
• Algeria — US$25.46 billion (2024)
• Bahrain — US$9.74 billion (2025)
• Djibouti — US$219.41 million (2024)
• Egypt, Arab Rep. — US$52.96 billion (2025)
• Iran, Islamic Rep. — US$97.86 billion (2024)
• Iraq — US$10.17 billion (2025)
• Israel — US$60.96 billion (2024)
• Jordan — US$10.7 billion (2025)
• Kuwait — US$12.17 billion (2025)

More economic policy & debt data for Middle income

• Charges for the use of intellectual property, payments (BoP, current US$) — US$117.46 billion (2025)
• Portfolio equity, net inflows (BoP, current US$) — US$9.23 billion (2025)
• Exports of goods and services (current US$) — US$10.34 trillion (2025)
• Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) — 25.31% (2025)
• Imports of goods and services (current US$) — US$9.88 trillion (2025)
• Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) — 24.2% (2025)
• External balance on goods and services (% of GDP) — 1.11% (2025)
• Trade (% of GDP) — 48.52% (2025)
• Agriculture, forestry, and fishing, value added (current US$)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Middle income's manufacturing, value added (current US$)?

US$8.27 trillion in 2025, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 2004?

It is up 409.85% from US$1.62 trillion in 2004 (8.07% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was US$8.27 trillion in 2025 and the lowest US$1.62 trillion in 2004.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator NV.IND.MANF.CD, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Country official statistics, National Statistical Offices (NSOs); National Accounts data files, Central Banks; Staff estimates, World Bank (WB) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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