Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan (excluding high income): Mortality from CVD, cancer, diabetes or CRD between exact ages 30 and 70, male (%)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2021, Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan (excluding high income)'s mortality from CVD, cancer, diabetes or CRD between exact ages 30 and 70, male (%) fell 1.51 percentage points on 2020 (from 24.86% to 23.35%).

Across the 20 yearly changes before that (2001 to 2020), the average change was −0.21 percentage points and a typical year strayed about 0.15 percentage points from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 8.5 standard deviations below that average, so it was unusually large compared with the rest of the record.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 0.12 percentage points in 2015 and the biggest yearly fall was 1.51 percentage points in 2021. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2012 to 2021 the straight-line trend is downward, about 0.26 percentage points a year. A straight line explains 82% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 23.56% for 2024. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2019 to 2021 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 0.47%, against 0.79% for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

See how every economy compares in the full ranking.

What this measures

Mortality from CVD, cancer, diabetes or CRD is the percent of 30-year-old-people who would die before their 70th birthday from any of cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory disease, assuming that s/he would experience current mortality rates at every age and s/he would not die from any other cause of death (e.g., injuries or HIV/AIDS).

Limitations: Due to changes in input data and methods, the revisions of the data are not comparable to previously published estimates.

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a weighted average.

All 22 values

Mortality from CVD, cancer, diabetes or CRD between exact ages 30 and 70, male (%) in nearby economies

• Afghanistan — 31.5% (2021)
• Algeria — 13.8% (2021)
• Bahrain — 14.2% (2021)
• Djibouti — 22.1% (2021)
• Egypt, Arab Rep. — 30.8% (2021)
• Iran, Islamic Rep. — 15% (2021)
• Iraq — 26.5% (2021)
• Israel — 8.9% (2021)

More health data for Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan (excluding high income)

• Population ages 00-04, female (% of female population) — 10.89% (2025)
• Population ages 00-04, male (% of male population) — 11.15% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female — 120.33 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female (% of female population) — 32.29% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male — 126.04 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male (% of male population) — 33.06% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, total

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan (excluding high income)'s mortality from CVD, cancer, diabetes or CRD between exact ages 30 and 70, male (%)?

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SH.DYN.NCOM.MA.ZS, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: World Health Organization, Global Health Observatory Data Repository (http://apps.who.int/ghodata/)., World Health Organization (WHO), uri: https://www.who.int/data/gho Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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