Health · Madagascar
Yearly data from 1960 to 2025, from the World Bank.
Madagascar's population, total was 32.74 million in 2025, the latest year in the World Bank's World Development Indicators. That is up 28.76% from 25.43 million in 2015 (2.56% a year on average, compounded).
| Value | Year | |
|---|---|---|
| Latest | 32.74 million | 2025 |
| Five years earlier | 28.95 million | 2020 |
| Ten years earlier | 25.43 million | 2015 |
| Highest | 32.74 million | 2025 |
| Lowest | 5.11 million | 1960 |
| Average since 2016 | 29.36 million | 2016–2025 |
| First recorded | 5.11 million | 1960 |
Over five years it is up 13.08% from 28.95 million in 2020 (2.49% a year on average, compounded). Since 1960 it is up 540.59% from 5.11 million in 1960 (2.9% a year on average, compounded).
In 2025, Madagascar's population, total rose 2.4% on 2024 (from 31.96 million to 32.74 million).
Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1995 to 2024), the average change was +2.9% and a typical year strayed about 0.3% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 1.7 standard deviations below that average, so it was larger than a typical year, though not out of the range seen before.
On record, the biggest yearly rise was 3.3% in 1998. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.
From 2016 to 2025 the straight-line trend is upward, about 738,777 a year. A straight line explains 100% of the movement over 10 observed years.
Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.
Extending that straight line gives about 34.82 million for 2028. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2023 to 2025 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 224,262, against 1.53 million for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.
See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.
In 2025, Madagascar had the 50th highest value of the 217 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.
| Value | Year | |
|---|---|---|
| Madagascar | 32.74 million | 2025 |
| World | 8.22 billion | 2025 |
| Sub-Saharan Africa | 1.32 billion | 2025 |
| Low income | 767.49 million | 2025 |
Total population is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship. The values shown are midyear estimates.
Limitations: Current population estimates for developing countries that lack (i) reliable recent census data, and (ii) pre- and post-census estimates for countries with census data, are provided by the United Nations Population Division and other agencies. The cohort component method - a standard method for estimating and projecting population - requires fertility, mortality, and net migration data, often collected from sample surveys, which can be small or limited in coverage. Population estimates are from demographic modeling and so are susceptible to biases and errors from shortcomings in both the model and the data.
Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a sum.
| Year | Population, total |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 32,740,678 |
| 2024 | 31,964,956 |
| 2023 | 31,195,932 |
| 2022 | 30,437,261 |
| 2021 | 29,691,083 |
| 2020 | 28,953,556 |
| 2019 | 28,219,554 |
| 2018 | 27,494,926 |
| 2017 | 26,788,375 |
| 2016 | 26,099,952 |
| 2015 | 25,426,702 |
| 2014 | 24,764,348 |
| 2013 | 24,109,290 |
| 2012 | 23,462,438 |
| 2011 | 22,822,300 |
| 2010 | 22,183,340 |
| 2009 | 21,547,280 |
| 2008 | 20,923,840 |
| 2007 | 20,318,583 |
| 2006 | 19,730,909 |
| 2005 | 19,159,707 |
| 2004 | 18,606,608 |
| 2003 | 18,071,854 |
| 2002 | 17,549,913 |
| 2001 | 17,032,939 |
| 2000 | 16,516,338 |
| 1999 | 16,000,506 |
| 1998 | 15,489,364 |
| 1997 | 14,990,814 |
| 1996 | 14,510,711 |
| 1995 | 14,051,275 |
| 1994 | 13,613,850 |
| 1993 | 13,197,345 |
| 1992 | 12,800,870 |
| 1991 | 12,421,412 |
| 1990 | 12,055,639 |
| 1989 | 11,704,998 |
| 1988 | 11,369,462 |
| 1987 | 11,047,291 |
| 1986 | 10,736,857 |
| 1985 | 10,433,142 |
| 1984 | 10,134,550 |
| 1983 | 9,843,044 |
| 1982 | 9,557,671 |
| 1981 | 9,279,011 |
| 1980 | 9,006,032 |
| 1979 | 8,737,581 |
| 1978 | 8,475,864 |
| 1977 | 8,222,240 |
| 1976 | 7,976,831 |
| 1975 | 7,739,336 |
| 1974 | 7,509,726 |
| 1973 | 7,288,048 |
| 1972 | 7,074,398 |
| 1971 | 6,868,868 |
| 1970 | 6,672,003 |
| 1969 | 6,484,716 |
| 1968 | 6,306,493 |
| 1967 | 6,136,486 |
| 1966 | 5,974,279 |
| 1965 | 5,819,116 |
| 1964 | 5,669,863 |
| 1963 | 5,525,185 |
| 1962 | 5,384,150 |
| 1961 | 5,246,158 |
| 1960 | 5,111,029 |
Every indicator for Madagascar is on the Madagascar data page.
World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SP.POP.TOTL, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: World Population Prospects, United Nations (UN), uri: https://population.un.org/wpp/, publisher: UN Population Division; Statistical databases and publications from national statistical offices, National Statistical Offices (NSOs), uri: https://unstats.un.org/home/nso_sites/, publisher: National Sta… Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.
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