Late-demographic dividend's arms exports (SIPRI trend indicator values) was 3.35 billion in 2025, the latest year in the World Bank's World Development Indicators. That is down 57.68% from 7.92 billion in 2015 (8.24% a year on average, compounded).
Key figures
| Value | Year | |
|---|---|---|
| Latest | 3.35 billion | 2025 |
| Ten years earlier | 7.92 billion | 2015 |
| Highest | 10.57 billion | 2013 |
| Lowest | 47 million | 1961 |
| Average since 2016 | 6.27 billion | 2016–2025 |
| First recorded | 293 million | 1960 |
Since 1960 it is up 1,044% from 293 million in 1960 (3.82% a year on average, compounded). The World Bank has no value for 35 of the years in between; the chart leaves those gaps open rather than joining across them.
What the numbers say
In 2025, Late-demographic dividend's arms exports (SIPRI trend indicator values) fell 18.9% on 2024 (from 4.13 billion to 3.35 billion).
Across the 25 yearly changes before that (1961 to 2024), the average change was +15.3% and a typical year strayed about 50% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.7 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.
On record, the biggest yearly rise was 153.7% in 1964 and the biggest yearly fall was 84% in 1961. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.
From 2016 to 2025 the straight-line trend is downward, about 663.79 million a year. A straight line explains 86% of the movement over 9 observed years.
Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.
How it compares
See how every economy compares in the full ranking.
| Value | Year | |
|---|---|---|
| Late-demographic dividend | 3.35 billion | 2025 |
| World | 33.54 billion | 2025 |
What this measures
Arms transfers (exports) cover the volume of transfers of major arms through sales and gifts, and those made through manufacturing licenses. Data cover major conventional weapons such as aircraft, armored vehicles, artillery, radar systems, missiles, and ships. Figures are SIPRI Trend Indicator Values (TIVs). A '0' indicates that the volume of deliveries is between 0 and 0.5 million SIPRI TIV.
Limitations: SIPRI calculates the volume of transfers to, from and between all parties using the TIV and the number of weapon systems or subsystems delivered in a given year. This data is intended to provide a common unit to allow the measurement if trends in the flow of arms to particular countries and regions over time. Therefore, the main priority is to ensure that the TIV system remains consistent over time, and that any changes introduced are backdated. SIPRI TIV figures do not represent sales prices for arms transfers.
Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a sum.
All 31 values
| Year | Arms exports (SIPRI trend indicator values) |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 3,351,000,000 |
| 2024 | 4,133,000,000 |
| 2023 | 5,338,000,000 |
| 2022 | 5,825,000,000 |
| 2021 | 3,918,000,000 |
| 2020 | no data |
| 2019 | 7,195,000,000 |
| 2018 | 8,823,000,000 |
| 2017 | 8,264,000,000 |
| 2016 | 9,612,000,000 |
Arms exports (SIPRI trend indicator values) in nearby economies
- Egypt, Arab Rep. — 2 million (2024)
- Iran, Islamic Rep. — 80 million (2025)
- Israel — 2.62 billion (2025)
- Jordan — 226 million (2024)
- Libya — 0 (2016)
- Pakistan — 127 million (2025)
- Qatar — 2 million (2025)
- Saudi Arabia — 3 million (2023)
- United Arab Emirates — 33 million (2025)
More public sector data for Late-demographic dividend
- Arms imports (SIPRI trend indicator values) — 7.66 billion (2025)
- Military expenditure (current USD) — 696.74 billion (2025)
- Military expenditure (% of GDP) — 2.27% (2025)
- Armed forces personnel, total — 9.5 million (2020)
- Armed forces personnel (% of total labor force) — 0.79% (2020)
- Taxes on goods and services (% of revenue) — 33.51% (2024)
- Taxes on international trade (% of revenue) — 2.68% (2024)
- Taxes on income, profits and capital gains (% of revenue) — 18.76% (2024)
- Interest payments (% of revenue)
Reading data like this
Questions people ask
- What is Late-demographic dividend's arms exports (SIPRI trend indicator values)?
- 3.35 billion in 2025, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).
- How has it changed since 1960?
- It is up 1,044% from 293 million in 1960 (3.82% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 10.57 billion in 2013 and the lowest 47 million in 1961.
- Is the latest change in arms exports (SIPRI trend indicator values) unusual for Late-demographic dividend?
- In 2025, Late-demographic dividend's arms exports (SIPRI trend indicator values) fell 18.9% on 2024 (from 4.13 billion to 3.35 billion). Across the 25 yearly changes before that (1961 to 2024), the average change was +15.3% and a typical year strayed about 50% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.7 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.
Source
World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator MS.MIL.XPRT.KD, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Arms Transfers Programme, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), uri: https://armstransfers.sipri.org/ArmsTransfer/ Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.
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