Kazakhstan's discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) was -1.88 trillion in 2024, the latest year in the World Bank's World Development Indicators. That is down 77.42% from -1.06 trillion in 2014.
Key figures
| Value | Year | |
|---|---|---|
| Latest | -1.88 trillion | 2024 |
| Five years earlier | -1.34 trillion | 2019 |
| Ten years earlier | -1.06 trillion | 2014 |
| Highest | -53.25 billion | 2005 |
| Lowest | -1.88 trillion | 2024 |
| Average since 2015 | -1.43 trillion | 2015–2024 |
| First recorded | -53.25 billion |
What the numbers say
In 2024, Kazakhstan's discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) fell 182.2 billion on 2023 (from -1.7 trillion to -1.88 trillion).
Across the 18 yearly changes before that (2006 to 2023), the average change was −91.4 billion and a typical year strayed about 116.32 billion from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.8 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.
On record, the biggest yearly rise was 167.56 billion in 2022 and the biggest yearly fall was 319.36 billion in 2006. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.
From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is downward, about 73.99 billion a year. A straight line explains 87% of the movement over 10 observed years.
Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.
A straight-line projection, tested first
Extending that straight line gives about -2 trillion for 2027. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2022 to 2024 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 106.66 billion, against 181.34 billion for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.
See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.
How it compares
In 2024, Kazakhstan had the 15th highest value of the 14 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.
Closest to Kazakhstan in the 2024 ranking
What this measures
Although the SNA ensures there is perfect consistency between the three measures of GDP, this is a conceptual consistency that in general does not emerge naturally from data compilations. This is because of the wide disparity of data sources that must be called on and the fact that any error in any source will lead to a difference between at least two of the GDP measures. In practice it is inevitable that many such data errors will exist and will become apparent in exercises such as the balancing of supply and use tables. This indicator is expressed in constant prices, meaning the underlying series have been adjusted to account for price changes over time. The reference year for this adjustment varies by country.
All 20 values
| Year | Discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) |
|---|---|
| 2024 | -1,880,650,455,100 |
| 2023 | -1,698,451,917,200 |
| 2022 | -1,433,757,164,100 |
| 2021 | -1,601,314,496,000 |
| 2020 | -1,515,454,783,200 |
| 2019 | -1,339,230,798,900 |
| 2018 | -1,227,593,969,100 |
| 2017 | -1,252,150,059,300 |
| 2016 | -1,186,903,845,600 |
| 2015 | -1,167,041,918,900 |
Discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU) in nearby economies
More economic policy & debt data for Kazakhstan
- Adjusted savings, education expenditure (% of GNI) — 3.26% (2021)
- Adjusted savings, mineral depletion (current US$) — US$11.25 billion (2021)
- Adjusted savings, energy depletion (current US$) — US$15.12 billion (2021)
- Agriculture, forestry, and fishing, value added (constant 2015 US$) — US$12.34 billion (2025)
- Agriculture, forestry, and fishing, value added (constant LCU) — 906.89 billion (2025)
- Industry, including construction, value added (constant 2015 US$) — US$89.74 billion (2025)
- Industry, including construction, value added (constant LCU) — 6.82 trillion (2025)
- Services, value added (constant 2015 US$) — US$143.89 billion (2025)
Reading data like this
Questions people ask
- What is Kazakhstan's discrepancy in expenditure estimate of GDP (constant LCU)?
- -1.88 trillion in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).
- How has it changed since 2005?
Source
World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator NY.GDP.DISC.KN, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Country official statistics, National Statistical Organizations and/or Central Banks; National Accounts data files, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Staff estimates, World Bank (WB) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.
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