Heavily indebted poor countries (HIPC): Incidence of HIV, ages 15-49 (per 1,000 uninfected population ages 15-49)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2024, Heavily indebted poor countries (HIPC)'s incidence of HIV, ages 15-49 (per 1,000 uninfected population ages 15-49) fell 0.08 on 2023 (from 0.75 to 0.67).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1994 to 2023), the average change was −0.15 and a typical year strayed about 0.08 from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.9 standard deviations above that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 0.14 in 1991 and the biggest yearly fall was 0.36 in 1995. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is downward, about 0.09 a year. A straight line explains 100% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 0.37 for 2027. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2022 to 2024 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 0.02, against 0.17 for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

See how every economy compares in the full ranking.

What this measures

Number of new HIV infections among uninfected populations ages 15-49 expressed per 1,000 uninfected population in the year before the period.

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a weighted average.

All 35 values

Incidence of HIV, ages 15-49 (per 1,000 uninfected population ages 15-49) in nearby economies

• Afghanistan — 0.1 (2024)
• Algeria — 0.1 (2024)
• Bahrain — 0.1 (2024)
• Djibouti — 0.57 (2024)
• Egypt, Arab Rep. — 0.1 (2024)
• Iraq — 0.1 (2024)
• Jordan — 0.01 (2024)
• Libya — 0.11 (2024)
• Malta

More health data for Heavily indebted poor countries (HIPC)

• Population ages 00-04, female (% of female population) — 15.02% (2025)
• Population ages 00-04, male (% of male population) — 15.51% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female — 196.52 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female (% of female population) — 40.59% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male — 201.15 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male (% of male population) — 41.82% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, total — 397.67 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14 (% of total population)

Reading data like this

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Questions people ask

What is Heavily indebted poor countries (HIPC)'s incidence of HIV, ages 15-49 (per 1,000 uninfected population ages 15-49)?

0.67 in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1990?

It is down 87.49% from 5.37 in 1990 (5.93% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 5.51 in 1991 and the lowest 0.67 in 2024.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SH.HIV.INCD.ZS, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: UNAIDS estimates, Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), uri: https://aidsinfo.unaids.org/, publisher: UNAIDS, date accessed: 2025-08-27, date published: 2025-07 Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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