Fragility, Conflict, and Violence (FCV) situations: Lifetime risk of maternal death (1 in: rate varies by country)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2023, Fragility, Conflict, and Violence (FCV) situations' lifetime risk of maternal death (1 in: rate varies by country) rose 5.8% on 2022 (from 52 to 55).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1993 to 2022), the average change was +3.3% and a typical year strayed about 3.9% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.6 standard deviations above that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 14.3% in 1994 and the biggest yearly fall was 5.3% in 1987. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2014 to 2023 the straight-line trend is upward, about 1.93 a year. A straight line explains 96% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 57.83 for 2026. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2021 to 2023 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 2.72, against 4 for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

See how every economy compares in the full ranking.

What this measures

Life time risk of maternal death is the probability that a 15-year-old female will die eventually from a maternal cause assuming that current levels of fertility and mortality (including maternal mortality) do not change in the future, taking into account competing causes of death.

Limitations: The methodology differs from that used for previous estimates, so data should not be compared historically. Maternal mortality ratios are generally of unknown reliability, as are many other cause-specific mortality indicators. The probability cannot be assumed to provide an exact estimate of risk of maternal death.

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a weighted average.

All 39 values

Lifetime risk of maternal death (1 in: rate varies by country) in nearby economies

• Afghanistan — 40 (2023)
• Algeria — 633 (2023)
• Bahrain — 3,315 (2023)
• Djibouti — 265 (2023)
• Egypt, Arab Rep. — 2,223 (2023)
• Iran, Islamic Rep. — 4,179 (2023)
• Iraq — 465 (2023)
• Israel — 15,889 (2023)
• Jordan — 1,263 (2023)

More health data for Fragility, Conflict, and Violence (FCV) situations

• Population ages 00-04, female (% of female population) — 13.27% (2025)
• Population ages 00-04, male (% of male population) — 13.68% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female — 202.75 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female (% of female population) — 36.77% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male — 209.19 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male (% of male population) — 37.89% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, total — 411.93 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14 (% of total population)

Reading data like this

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Questions people ask

What is Fragility, Conflict, and Violence (FCV) situations's lifetime risk of maternal death (1 in: rate varies by country)?

55 in 2023, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1985?

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SH.MMR.RISK, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Trends in Maternal Mortality, World Health Organization (WHO); UN Children's Fund (UNICEF), note: Trends in Maternal Mortality; UN Population Fund (UNFPA), note: Trends in Maternal Mortality; World Bank Group (WBG), note: Trends in Maternal Mortality Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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