Bahrain: Net domestic credit (current LCU)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2015, Bahrain's net domestic credit (current LCU) rose 1.07 billion on 2014 (from 9.56 billion to 10.64 billion).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1985 to 2014), the average change was +313.9 million and a typical year strayed about 460.37 million from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 1.6 standard deviations above that average, so it was larger than a typical year, though not out of the range seen before.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 1.62 billion in 2008 and the biggest yearly fall was 235.54 million in 1988. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2006 to 2015 the straight-line trend is upward, about 840.48 million a year. A straight line explains 98% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 13.3 billion for 2018. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2013 to 2015 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 362.17 million, against 1.62 billion for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

What this measures

Net domestic credit is the sum of net claims on the central government and claims on other sectors of the domestic economy. This indicator is expressed in current prices, meaning no adjustment has been made to account for price changes over time. This series is expressed in local currency units.

All 51 values

Net domestic credit (current LCU) in nearby economies

• Afghanistan — -79.38 billion (2020)
• Algeria — 28.47 trillion (2025)
• Djibouti — 335.15 billion (2025)
• Egypt, Arab Rep. — 18.29 trillion (2025)
• Iran, Islamic Rep. — 10,211.7 trillion (2016)
• Iraq — 78.52 trillion (2024)
• Israel — 2.22 trillion (2025)
• Jordan — 47.43 billion (2025)
• Kuwait — 46.3 billion (2025)
• Lebanon — 160.19 trillion (2017)
• Libya

More financial sector data for Bahrain

• Consumer price index (2010 = 100) — 120.52 (2025)
• DEC alternative conversion factor (LCU per US$) — US$0.38 (2025)
• Inflation, consumer prices (annual % growth) — -0.14% (2025)
• Official exchange rate (LCU per US$, period average) — US$0.38 (2025)
• GDP deflator (base year varies by country) — 117.2 (2025)
• Inflation, GDP deflator (annual % growth) — 0.23% (2025)
• Net foreign assets (current LCU) — 1.34 billion (2015)
• Broad money (current LCU) — 10.04 billion (2015)
• Broad money to total reserves ratio — 7.53 (2015)
• Claims on central government (annual growth as % of broad money)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Bahrain's net domestic credit (current LCU)?

10.64 billion in 2015, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1965?

It is up 122,440% from 8.68 million in 1965 (15.28% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 10.64 billion in 2015 and the lowest -84.57 million in 1989.

Is the latest change in net domestic credit (current LCU) unusual for Bahrain?

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator FM.AST.DOMS.CN, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: International Financial Statistics database, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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