Tajikistan: Gross Value Added (GVA) at basic prices (constant 2015 US$)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2024, Tajikistan's gross Value Added (GVA) at basic prices (constant 2015 US$) rose 9.4% on 2023 (from US$13.95 billion to US$15.26 billion).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1994 to 2023), the average change was +4.9% and a typical year strayed about 7.8% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.6 standard deviations above that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 13.9% in 1988 and the biggest yearly fall was 29% in 1992. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is upward, about US$854.38 million a year. A straight line explains 99% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about US$16.83 billion for 2027. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2022 to 2024 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was US$1.45 billion, against US$2.15 billion for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

In 2024, Tajikistan had the 12th highest value of the 25 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Tajikistan in the 2024 ranking

• Bolivia — 8th of 25: US$29.61 billion
• Papua New Guinea — 9th of 25: US$25.8 billion
• Trinidad and Tobago — 10th of 25: US$21.06 billion
• Afghanistan — 12th of 25: US$15.16 billion
• Bahamas, The — 13th of 25: US$11.77 billion
• Bermuda — 14th of 25: US$7.27 billion

What this measures

Gross value added at basic prices reflects the price of products receivable by the producer exclusive of taxes payable on products and inclusive of subsidies receivable on products, less intermediate consumption valued at purchasers' prices. This indicator is expressed in constant prices, meaning the series has been adjusted to account for price changes over time. The reference year for this adjustment is 2015. This indicator is expressed in United States dollars.

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a gap-filled total.

All 40 values

Gross Value Added (GVA) at basic prices (constant 2015 US$) in nearby economies

• Albania — US$13.85 billion (2025)
• Andorra — US$3.19 billion (2025)
• Armenia — US$15.77 billion (2025)
• Austria — US$378.73 billion (2025)
• Azerbaijan — US$54.51 billion (2025)
• Belarus — US$54.42 billion (2025)
• Belgium — US$484.22 billion (2025)
• Bosnia and Herzegovina — US$17.85 billion (2025)
• Bulgaria — US$58.39 billion (2025)

More economic policy & debt data for Tajikistan

• Adjusted savings, education expenditure (% of GNI) — 3.61% (2021)
• Adjusted savings, mineral depletion (current US$) — US$474.75 million (2021)
• Adjusted savings, energy depletion (current US$) — US$25.4 million (2021)
• GDP (current LCU) — 176.92 billion (2025)
• GDP (constant 2015 US$) — US$17.18 billion (2025)
• GDP (constant LCU) — 11.37 billion (2025)
• GDP per capita (current LCU) — 16,402 (2025)
• GDP per capita (constant 2015 US$) — US$1,593 (2025)
• GDP per capita (constant LCU) — 1,054 (2025)
• GNI (current LCU) — 246.01 billion (2025)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
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Questions people ask

What is Tajikistan's gross Value Added (GVA) at basic prices (constant 2015 US$)?

US$15.26 billion in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1985?

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator NY.GDP.FCST.KD, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Country official statistics, National Statistical Organizations and/or Central Banks; National Accounts data files, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Staff estimates, World Bank (WB) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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