Tajikistan: Goods exports (current US$, BoP)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2025, Tajikistan's goods exports (current US$, BoP) rose 37.2% on 2024 (from US$1.42 billion to US$1.95 billion).

Across the 22 yearly changes before that (2003 to 2024), the average change was +7.7% and a typical year strayed about 26.9% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 1.1 standard deviations above that average, so it was larger than a typical year, though not out of the range seen before.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 58.5% in 2021 and the biggest yearly fall was 68.5% in 2005. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2016 to 2025 the straight-line trend is upward, about US$139 million a year. A straight line explains 73% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about US$2.38 billion for 2028. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2023 to 2025 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was US$193.21 million, against US$258.48 million for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

In 2025, Tajikistan had the 112th highest value of the 136 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Tajikistan in the 2025 ranking

• Nepal — 109th of 136: US$2.58 billion
• Madagascar — 110th of 136: US$2.48 billion
• Eswatini — 111th of 136: US$2.48 billion
• Albania — 113th of 136: US$1.76 billion
• Jamaica — 114th of 136: US$1.65 billion
• Kosovo — 115th of 136: US$1.08 billion

What this measures

Exports of goods occur when there are changes in the economic ownership of goods from residents of the compiling economy to non-residents, irrespective of physical movement of goods across national borders. This indicator is expressed in current prices, meaning no adjustment has been made to account for price changes over time. This indicator is expressed in United States dollars.

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a gap-filled total.

All 24 values

Goods exports (current US$, BoP) in nearby economies

• Albania — US$1.76 billion (2025)
• Armenia — US$8.44 billion (2025)
• Austria — US$213.92 billion (2025)
• Azerbaijan — US$24.07 billion (2025)
• Belarus — US$40.45 billion (2025)
• Belgium — US$389.06 billion (2025)
• Bosnia and Herzegovina — US$9.41 billion (2025)
• Bulgaria — US$47.94 billion (2025)
• Croatia — US$24.51 billion (2025)
• Cyprus — US$4.62 billion (2025)
• Czechia

More economic policy & debt data for Tajikistan

• Adjusted savings, education expenditure (% of GNI) — 3.61% (2021)
• Adjusted savings, mineral depletion (current US$) — US$474.75 million (2021)
• Adjusted savings, energy depletion (current US$) — US$25.4 million (2021)
• GDP (current LCU) — 176.92 billion (2025)
• GDP (constant 2015 US$) — US$17.18 billion (2025)
• GDP (constant LCU) — 11.37 billion (2025)
• GDP per capita (current LCU) — 16,402 (2025)
• GDP per capita (constant 2015 US$) — US$1,593 (2025)
• GDP per capita (constant LCU) — 1,054 (2025)
• GNI (current LCU) — 246.01 billion (2025)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Tajikistan's goods exports (current US$, BoP)?

US$1.95 billion in 2025, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 2002?

It is up 179.25% from US$699.15 million in 2002 (4.57% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was US$2.01 billion in 2021 and the lowest US$345.68 million in 2005.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator BX.GSR.MRCH.CD, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Balance of Payments Statistics Yearbook and data files, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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