Sudan: Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years (per 1,000)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2024, Sudan's probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years (per 1,000) fell 1 on 2023 (from 28.3 to 27.3).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1994 to 2023), the average change was +0.1 and a typical year strayed about 3.41 from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.3 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 13.6 in 2023 and the biggest yearly fall was 7.6 in 2006. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is upward, about 1.01 a year. A straight line explains 36% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

How it compares

In 2024, Sudan had the 2nd highest value of the 196 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Sudan in the 2024 ranking

• West Bank and Gaza — 1st of 196: 41.2
• Somalia, Fed. Rep. — 3rd of 196: 25.8
• Ukraine — 4th of 196: 23.1
• Central African Republic — 5th of 196: 22.4

What this measures

Probability of dying between age 20-24 years of age expressed per 1,000 youths age 20, if subject to age-specific mortality rates of the specified year.

Limitations: Complete vital registration systems are fairly uncommon in developing countries. Thus estimates must be obtained from sample surveys or derived by applying indirect estimation techniques to registration, census, or survey data. Survey data are subject to recall error, and surveys estimating infant/child deaths require large samples because households in which a birth has occurred during a given year cannot ordinarily be preselected for sampling. Indirect estimates rely on model life tables that may be inappropriate for the population concerned. Extrapolations based on outdated surveys may not be reliable for monitoring changes in health status or for comparative analytical work.

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a weighted average.

All 35 values

Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years (per 1,000) in nearby economies

• Angola — 14.4 (2024)
• Benin — 10.5 (2024)
• Botswana — 9.1 (2024)
• Burkina Faso — 10.4 (2024)
• Burundi — 8.1 (2024)
• Cabo Verde — 2.6 (2024)
• Cameroon — 16.2 (2024)
• Central African Republic — 22.4 (2024)
• Chad — 17.9 (2024)

More health data for Sudan

• Population ages 00-04, female (% of female population) — 14.61% (2025)
• Population ages 00-04, male (% of male population) — 15.33% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female — 10.25 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female (% of female population) — 39.34% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male — 10.52 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male (% of male population) — 41.1% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, total — 20.78 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14 (% of total population) — 40.21% (2025)
• Population ages 05-09, female (% of female population) — 13.15% (2025)
• Population ages 05-09, male (% of male population)

Reading data like this

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Questions people ask

What is Sudan's probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years (per 1,000)?

27.3 in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1990?

It is up 3.8% from 26.3 in 1990 (0.11% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 32.1 in 2004 and the lowest 14.7 in 2022.

How does Sudan rank?

2nd highest of 196 economies with data for 2024.

Is the latest change in probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years (per 1,000) unusual for Sudan?

In 2024, Sudan's probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years (per 1,000) fell 1 on 2023 (from 28.3 to 27.3). Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1994 to 2023), the average change was +0.1 and a typical year strayed about 3.41 from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.3 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SH.DYN.2024, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF), uri: www.childmortality.org; World Health Organization (WHO), uri: www.childmortality.org, note: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation; World Bank (WB), uri: www.childmortality.org, note: UN Inter-agenc… Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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