Small states: Prevalence of HIV, female (% ages 15-24)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2024, Small states' prevalence of HIV, female (% ages 15-24) fell 0.05 percentage points on 2023 (from 1% to 0.95%).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1994 to 2023), the average change was +0.01 percentage points and a typical year strayed about 0.11 percentage points from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.5 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 0.28 percentage points in 1996 and the biggest yearly fall was 0.12 percentage points in 2017. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is downward, about 0.07 percentage points a year. A straight line explains 98% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 0.68% for 2027. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2022 to 2024 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 0.02%, against 0.11% for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

See how every economy compares in the full ranking.

What this measures

Prevalence of HIV, female is the percentage of females who are infected with HIV. Youth rates are as a percentage of the relevant age group.

Limitations: The limited availability of data on health status is a major constraint in assessing the health situation in developing countries. Surveillance data are lacking for many major public health concerns. Estimates of prevalence and incidence are available for some diseases but are often unreliable and incomplete. National health authorities differ widely in capacity and willingness to collect or report information.

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a weighted average.

All 35 values

Prevalence of HIV, female (% ages 15-24) in nearby economies

• Afghanistan — 0.1% (2024)
• Algeria — 0.1% (2024)
• Bahrain — 0.1% (2024)
• Djibouti — 0.4% (2024)
• Egypt, Arab Rep. — 0.1% (2024)
• Iraq — 0.1% (2024)
• Jordan — 0.1% (2024)
• Kuwait — 0.1% (2024)
• Lebanon — 0.1% (2024)
• Libya — 0.1% (2024)
• Malta

More health data for Small states

• Population ages 00-04, female (% of female population) — 7.71% (2025)
• Population ages 00-04, male (% of male population) — 7.98% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female — 2.41 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female (% of female population) — 23.78% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male — 2.51 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male (% of male population) — 24.55% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, total — 4.92 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14 (% of total population) — 24.17% (2025)
• Population ages 05-09, female (% of female population) — 8.02% (2025)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Small states's prevalence of HIV, female (% ages 15-24)?

0.95% in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1990?

It is up 0.71 percentage points from 0.24% in 1990. The highest value was 2.16% in 2001 and the lowest 0.24% in 1990.

Is the latest change in prevalence of HIV, female (% ages 15-24) unusual for Small states?

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SH.HIV.1524.FE.ZS, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: UNAIDS estimates, Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), uri: https://aidsinfo.unaids.org/, publisher: UNAIDS, date accessed: 2025-08-27, date published: 2025-07 Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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