Mozambique: Adjusted savings, carbon dioxide damage (current US$)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2021, Mozambique's adjusted savings, carbon dioxide damage (current US$) rose 16.6% on 2020 (from US$333.6 million to US$389 million).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1991 to 2020), the average change was +11.9% and a typical year strayed about 11.6% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.4 standard deviations above that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 36.2% in 2016 and the biggest yearly fall was 11.3% in 1991. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2012 to 2021 the straight-line trend is upward, about US$29.2 million a year. A straight line explains 97% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about US$454.14 million for 2024. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2019 to 2021 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was US$18.13 million, against US$70.52 million for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

In 2021, Mozambique had the 112th highest value of the 208 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Mozambique in the 2021 ranking

• Paraguay — 109th of 208: US$404.8 million
• Kosovo — 110th of 208: US$401.89 million
• Moldova — 111th of 208: US$396.24 million
• Benin — 113th of 208: US$377.22 million
• Botswana — 114th of 208: US$372.96 million
• Costa Rica — 115th of 208: US$369.62 million

What this measures

Cost of damage due to carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel use and the manufacture of cement, estimated to be US$40 per ton of CO2 (the unit damage in 2017 US dollars for CO2 emitted in 2020) times the number of tons of CO2 emitted. This indicator is expressed in current prices, meaning no adjustment has been made to account for price changes over time. This indicator is expressed in United States dollars.

All 32 values

Adjusted savings, carbon dioxide damage (current US$) in nearby economies

• Angola — US$1.06 billion (2021)
• Benin — US$377.22 million (2021)
• Botswana — US$372.96 million (2021)
• Burkina Faso — US$261.65 million (2021)
• Burundi — US$38.48 million (2021)
• Cabo Verde — US$26.33 million (2021)
• Cameroon — US$440.12 million (2021)
• Central African Republic — US$12.65 million (2021)
• Chad — US$108.38 million (2021)

More economic policy & debt data for Mozambique

• Net official development assistance and official aid received (current US$) — US$2.93 billion (2023)
• Net official development assistance and official aid received (constant 2023 US$) — US$2.93 billion (2023)
• Net official development assistance received (current US$) — US$2.93 billion (2023)
• Net official development assistance received (constant 2023 US$) — US$2.93 billion (2023)
• Net ODA received per capita (current US$) — US$87.03 (2023)
• Grants, excluding technical cooperation (BoP, current US$) — US$2.78 billion (2023)
• Net bilateral aid flows from DAC donors, Total (current US$) — US$1.44 billion (2023)
• Technical cooperation grants (BoP, current US$)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
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Questions people ask

What is Mozambique's adjusted savings, carbon dioxide damage (current US$)?

US$389 million in 2021, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1990?

It is up 2,766% from US$13.57 million in 1990 (11.43% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was US$389 million in 2021 and the lowest US$12.04 million in 1991.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator NY.ADJ.DCO2.CD, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Staff estimates, World Bank (WB); The Changing Wealth of Nations: Measuring Sustainable Development in the New Millennium, World Bank (WB) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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