Health · Macao SAR, China
Yearly data from 1960 to 2024, from the World Bank.
Macao SAR, China's fertility rate, total (births per woman) was 0.58 in 2024, the latest year in the World Bank's World Development Indicators. That is down 52.45% from 1.22 in 2014 (7.16% a year on average, compounded).
| Value | Year | |
|---|---|---|
| Latest | 0.58 | 2024 |
| Five years earlier | 0.9 | 2019 |
| Ten years earlier | 1.22 | 2014 |
| Highest | 4.96 | 1960 |
| Lowest | 0.58 | 2024 |
| Average since 2015 | 0.86 | 2015–2024 |
| First recorded | 4.96 | 1960 |
Over five years it is down 35.26% from 0.9 in 2019 (8.33% a year on average, compounded). Since 1960 it is down 88.26% from 4.96 in 1960 (3.29% a year on average, compounded).
In 2024, Macao SAR, China's fertility rate, total (births per woman) fell 0.004 on 2023 (from 0.59 to 0.58).
Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1994 to 2023), the average change was −0.03 and a typical year strayed about 0.08 from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.3 standard deviations above that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.
On record, the biggest yearly rise was 0.21 in 2012 and the biggest yearly fall was 0.41 in 1968. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.
From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is downward, about 0.07 a year. A straight line explains 98% of the movement over 10 observed years.
Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.
Extending that straight line gives about 0.39 for 2027. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2022 to 2024 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 0.09, against 0.14 for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.
See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.
In 2024, Macao SAR, China had the 217th highest value of the 217 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.
| Value | Year | |
|---|---|---|
| Macao SAR, China | 0.58 | 2024 |
| World | 2.19 | 2024 |
| East Asia & Pacific | 1.34 | 2024 |
| High income | 1.42 | 2024 |
Total fertility rate represents the number of children that would be born to a woman if she were to live to the end of her childbearing years and bear children in accordance with age-specific fertility rates of the specified year.
Limitations: Annual data series from United Nations Population Division's World Population Prospects are interpolated data from 5-year period data. Therefore they may not reflect real events as much as observed data.
Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a weighted average.
| Year | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) |
|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.582 |
| 2023 | 0.586 |
| 2022 | 0.68 |
| 2021 | 0.756 |
| 2020 | 0.841 |
| 2019 | 0.899 |
| 2018 | 0.915 |
| 2017 | 1.02 |
| 2016 | 1.14 |
| 2015 | 1.14 |
| 2014 | 1.22 |
| 2013 | 1.15 |
| 2012 | 1.36 |
| 2011 | 1.15 |
| 2010 | 1.07 |
| 2009 | 1 |
| 2008 | 0.979 |
| 2007 | 1.01 |
| 2006 | 0.954 |
| 2005 | 0.912 |
| 2004 | 0.855 |
| 2003 | 0.837 |
| 2002 | 0.813 |
| 2001 | 0.818 |
| 2000 | 0.933 |
| 1999 | 1.03 |
| 1998 | 1.11 |
| 1997 | 1.21 |
| 1996 | 1.29 |
| 1995 | 1.37 |
| 1994 | 1.43 |
| 1993 | 1.47 |
| 1992 | 1.55 |
| 1991 | 1.62 |
| 1990 | 1.71 |
| 1989 | 1.81 |
| 1988 | 1.86 |
| 1987 | 2.06 |
| 1986 | 2.19 |
| 1985 | 2.24 |
| 1984 | 2.15 |
| 1983 | 2.1 |
| 1982 | 1.99 |
| 1981 | 1.85 |
| 1980 | 1.73 |
| 1979 | 1.58 |
| 1978 | 1.43 |
| 1977 | 1.39 |
| 1976 | 1.43 |
| 1975 | 1.55 |
| 1974 | 1.73 |
| 1973 | 1.84 |
| 1972 | 1.94 |
| 1971 | 1.99 |
| 1970 | 2.08 |
| 1969 | 2.31 |
| 1968 | 2.61 |
| 1967 | 3.01 |
| 1966 | 3.32 |
| 1965 | 3.62 |
| 1964 | 3.94 |
| 1963 | 4.23 |
| 1962 | 4.39 |
| 1961 | 4.67 |
| 1960 | 4.96 |
Every indicator for Macao SAR, China is on the Macao SAR, China data page.
World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SP.DYN.TFRT.IN, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: World Population Prospects, United Nations (UN), publisher: UN Population Division; Statistical databases and publications from national statistical offices, National Statistical Offices (NSOs); Demographic Statistics, Eurostat (ESTAT) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.
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