Latvia: Adolescent fertility rate (births per 1,000 women ages 15-19)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2024, Latvia's adolescent fertility rate (births per 1,000 women ages 15-19) fell 0.32 on 2023 (from 7.57 to 7.25).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1994 to 2023), the average change was −1.15 and a typical year strayed about 2.11 from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.4 standard deviations above that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 4.08 in 1990 and the biggest yearly fall was 7.5 in 1994. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is downward, about 1.12 a year. A straight line explains 97% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 2.9 for 2027. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2022 to 2024 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 0.33, against 2.03 for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

In 2024, Latvia had the 168th highest value of the 217 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Latvia in the 2024 ranking

• Brunei Darussalam — 165th of 217: 8.05
• United Kingdom — 166th of 217: 7.82
• Kosovo — 167th of 217: 7.71
• Bahrain — 169th of 217: 7.23
• Cyprus — 170th of 217: 6.98
• Greece — 171st of 217: 6.85

What this measures

Adolescent fertility rate is the number of births per 1,000 women ages 15-19.

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a weighted average.

All 65 values

Adolescent fertility rate (births per 1,000 women ages 15-19) in nearby economies

• Albania — 12.4 (2024)
• Andorra — 3.4 (2024)
• Armenia — 12.82 (2024)
• Austria — 3.61 (2024)
• Azerbaijan — 34.86 (2024)
• Belarus — 8.17 (2024)
• Belgium — 3.5 (2024)
• Bosnia and Herzegovina — 10.78 (2024)
• Bulgaria — 38.04 (2024)

More health data for Latvia

• Population ages 00-04, female (% of female population) — 3.76% (2025)
• Population ages 00-04, male (% of male population) — 4.63% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female — 135,470 (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female (% of female population) — 13.68% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male — 145,158 (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male (% of male population) — 16.93% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, total — 280,628 (2025)
• Population ages 0-14 (% of total population) — 15.19% (2025)
• Population ages 05-09, female (% of female population) — 4.93% (2025)
• Population ages 05-09, male (% of male population)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Latvia's adolescent fertility rate (births per 1,000 women ages 15-19)?

7.25 in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1960?

It is down 66.13% from 21.4 in 1960 (1.68% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 50.07 in 1991 and the lowest 7.25 in 2024.

How does Latvia rank?

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SP.ADO.TFRT, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: World Population Prospects, United Nations (UN), publisher: UN Population Division Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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