Guinea: Export value index (2015 = 100)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2024, Guinea's export value index (2015 = 100) rose 38.2 on 2023 (from 516.4 to 554.6).

Across the 18 yearly changes before that (2006 to 2023), the average change was +26.12 and a typical year strayed about 76.43 from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.2 standard deviations above that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 280.5 in 2020 and the biggest yearly fall was 83.6 in 2022. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is upward, about 56.15 a year. A straight line explains 83% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 739.55 for 2027. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2022 to 2024 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 10.93, against 54.8 for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

In 2024, Guinea had the 4th highest value of the 204 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Guinea in the 2024 ranking

• Djibouti — 1st of 204: 4,081
• Guyana — 2nd of 204: 1,732
• Armenia — 3rd of 204: 884
• Rwanda — 5th of 204: 491.3
• Timor-Leste — 6th of 204: 475.8
• Micronesia, Fed. Sts. — 7th of 204: 470

What this measures

Export values are the current value of exports (f.o.b.) converted to U.S. dollars and expressed as a percentage of the average for the base period (2015). UNCTAD's export value indexes are reported for most economies.

All 20 values

Export value index (2015 = 100) in nearby economies

• Angola — 118.8 (2024)
• Benin — 225.3 (2024)
• Botswana — 73.6 (2024)
• Burkina Faso — 259.4 (2024)
• Burundi — 145.4 (2024)
• Cabo Verde — 112.7 (2024)
• Cameroon — 145.7 (2024)
• Central African Republic — 143.8 (2024)
• Chad — 186.6 (2024)
• Comoros — 175.7 (2024)
• Congo, Dem. Rep. — 346.1 (2024)

More trade data for Guinea

• Import volume index (2015 = 100) — 212.8 (2024)
• Import value index (2015 = 100) — 269.3 (2024)
• Net barter terms of trade index (2015 = 100) — 132 (2024)
• Export volume index (2015 = 100) — 332.2 (2024)
• Binding coverage, manufactured products (%) — 0% (2022)
• Tariff rate, applied, simple mean, manufactured products (%) — 12.3% (2022)
• Tariff rate, most favored nation, simple mean, manufactured products (%) — 11.72% (2022)
• Tariff rate, applied, weighted mean, manufactured products (%) — 11.72% (2022)
• Tariff rate, most favored nation, weighted mean, manufactured products (%) — 12.12% (2022)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Guinea's export value index (2015 = 100)?

554.6 in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 2005?

It is up 1,100% from 46.2 in 2005 (13.97% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 575.9 in 2021 and the lowest 46.2 in 2005.

How does Guinea rank?

4th highest of 204 economies with data for 2024.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator TX.VAL.MRCH.XD.WD, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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