Guatemala: Carbon dioxide (CO2) net fluxes from LULUCF - Deforestation (Mt CO2e)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2023, Guatemala's carbon dioxide (CO2) net fluxes from LULUCF - Deforestation (Mt CO2e) did not change 0% on 2022 (from 13.93 to 13.93).

Across the 22 yearly changes before that (2001 to 2022), the average change was −0.1% and a typical year strayed about 0.7% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.1 standard deviations above that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 2.8% in 2007 and the biggest yearly fall was 0.3% in 2022. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2014 to 2023 the straight-line trend is downward, about 0.04 a year. A straight line explains 99% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 13.78 for 2026. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2021 to 2023 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 0.02, against 0.07 for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

In 2023, Guatemala had the 33rd highest value of the 167 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Guatemala in the 2023 ranking

• Somalia, Fed. Rep. — 30th of 167: 17.35
• Botswana — 31st of 167: 15.2
• Mexico — 32nd of 167: 13.98
• Benin — 34th of 167: 13.73
• Viet Nam — 35th of 167: 13.54
• Ghana — 36th of 167: 13.33

What this measures

Net flux of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the category "Deforestation".

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a sum.

All 24 values

Carbon dioxide (CO2) net fluxes from LULUCF - Deforestation (Mt CO2e) in nearby economies

• Antigua and Barbuda — 0.0079 (2023)
• Argentina — 50.85 (2023)
• Bahamas, The — 4.02 (2023)
• Barbados — -0.004 (2023)
• Belize — 5.03 (2023)
• Bolivia — 28.24 (2023)
• Brazil — 1,025 (2023)
• Chile — 2.08 (2023)
• Colombia

More environment data for Guatemala

• Population in largest city — 3.23 million (2025)
• Population in the largest city (% of urban population) — 30.7% (2025)
• Population in urban agglomerations of more than 1 million — 3.23 million (2025)
• Population in urban agglomerations of more than 1 million (% of total population) — 17.28% (2025)
• Rural population — 8.17 million (2025)
• Rural population (% of total population) — 43.7% (2025)
• Urban population — 10.52 million (2025)
• Urban population (% of total population) — 56.3% (2025)
• Aquaculture production (metric tons) — 25,773 (2024)

Reading data like this

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Questions people ask

What is Guatemala's carbon dioxide (CO2) net fluxes from LULUCF - Deforestation (Mt CO2e)?

13.93 in 2023, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 2000?

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator EN.GHG.CO2.LU.DF.MT.CE.AR5, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Carbon fluxes from land 2000–2020: bringing clarity on countries’ reporting, uri: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-4643-2022, note: Data available from https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7190605, publisher: Earth System Science Data (ESSD) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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