Gabon: Adults (ages 15+) and children (ages 0-14) newly infected with HIV

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2024, Gabon's adults (ages 15+) and children (ages 0-14) newly infected with HIV fell 15% on 2023 (from 2,000 to 1,700).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1994 to 2023), the average change was −1.8% and a typical year strayed about 6.2% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 2.1 standard deviations below that average, so it was unusually large compared with the rest of the record.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 25% in 1991 and the biggest yearly fall was 15% in 2024. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is downward, about 89.09 a year. A straight line explains 84% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 1,625 for 2027. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2022 to 2024 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 156.36, against 400 for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

In 2024, Gabon had the 58th highest value of the 138 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Gabon in the 2024 ranking

• Ecuador — 55th of 138: 1,900
• Afghanistan — 56th of 138: 1,800
• Cuba — 57th of 138: 1,800
• Yemen, Rep. — 59th of 138: 1,600
• Panama — 60th of 138: 1,500
• Benin — 61st of 138: 1,400

What this measures

Number of adults (ages 15+) and children (ages 0-14) newly infected with HIV.

All 35 values

Adults (ages 15+) and children (ages 0-14) newly infected with HIV in nearby economies

• Angola — 21,000 (2024)
• Benin — 1,400 (2024)
• Botswana — 4,200 (2024)
• Burkina Faso — 3,000 (2024)
• Burundi — 1,400 (2024)
• Cabo Verde — 500 (2024)
• Cameroon — 13,000 (2024)
• Central African Republic — 4,000 (2024)
• Chad

More health data for Gabon

• Population ages 00-04, female (% of female population) — 12.95% (2025)
• Population ages 00-04, male (% of male population) — 12.76% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female — 467,120 (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female (% of female population) — 36.55% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male — 472,705 (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male (% of male population) — 35.94% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, total — 939,824 (2025)
• Population ages 0-14 (% of total population) — 36.24% (2025)
• Population ages 05-09, female (% of female population) — 12.4% (2025)
• Population ages 05-09, male (% of male population)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Gabon's adults (ages 15+) and children (ages 0-14) newly infected with HIV?

1,700 in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1990?

It is down 15% from 2,000 in 1990 (0.48% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 5,000 in 1997 and the lowest 1,700 in 2024.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SH.HIV.INCD.TL, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: UNAIDS estimates, Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), uri: https://aidsinfo.unaids.org/, publisher: UNAIDS, date accessed: 2025-08-27, date published: 2025-07 Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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