Estonia: Goods and services expense (current LCU)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2024, Estonia's goods and services expense (current LCU) rose 3% on 2023 (from 1.33 billion to 1.37 billion).

Across the 28 yearly changes before that (1996 to 2023), the average change was +7.6% and a typical year strayed about 6.2% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.7 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 21.7% in 1997 and the biggest yearly fall was 7.4% in 2009. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is upward, about 69.18 million a year. A straight line explains 96% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 1.54 billion for 2027. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2022 to 2024 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 125.11 million, against 222.22 million for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

In 2024, Estonia had the 84th highest value of the 89 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Estonia in the 2024 ranking

• Malta — 80th of 89: 1.59 billion
• Latvia — 81st of 89: 1.47 billion
• Panama — 82nd of 89: 1.43 billion
• Solomon Islands — 84th of 89: 1.33 billion
• Cyprus — 85th of 89: 1.21 billion
• Fiji — 86th of 89: 726.63 million

What this measures

Goods and services include all government payments in exchange for goods and services used for the production of market and nonmarket goods and services. Use of goods and services for account capital formation is excluded. This indicator is expressed in current prices, meaning no adjustment has been made to account for price changes over time. This series is expressed in local currency units.

Limitations: For most countries central government finance data have been consolidated into one account, but for others only budgetary central government accounts are available. Countries reporting budgetary data are noted in the country metadata. Because budgetary accounts may not include all central government units (such as social security funds), they usually provide an incomplete picture. In federal states the central government accounts provide an incomplete view of total public finance. Data on government revenue and expense are collected by the IMF through questionnaires to member countries and by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

All 31 values

Goods and services expense (current LCU) in nearby economies

• Albania — 57.5 billion (2024)
• Armenia — 119.97 billion (2024)
• Austria — 15.41 billion (2024)
• Azerbaijan — 13.81 billion (2024)
• Belarus — 10 billion (2024)
• Belgium — 6.97 billion (2024)
• Bosnia and Herzegovina — 3.29 billion (2024)
• Bulgaria — 2.84 billion (2024)
• Croatia — 3.19 billion (2023)
• Cyprus — 1.21 billion (2024)

More public sector data for Estonia

• Grants and other revenue (current LCU) — 1.9 billion (2024)
• Grants and other revenue (% of revenue) — 11.94% (2024)
• Social contributions (current LCU) — 5 billion (2024)
• Social contributions (% of revenue) — 31.36% (2024)
• Revenue, excluding grants (current LCU) — 15.26 billion (2024)
• Revenue, excluding grants (% of GDP) — 38.31% (2024)
• Taxes on goods and services (current LCU) — 5.47 billion (2024)
• Taxes on goods and services (% of revenue) — 34.36% (2024)
• Tax revenue (current LCU) — 9.03 billion (2024)
• Tax revenue (% of GDP) — 22.67% (2024)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Estonia's goods and services expense (current LCU)?

1.37 billion in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1991?

It is up 30,613% from 4.47 million in 1991 (18.95% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 1.37 billion in 2024 and the lowest 4.47 million in 1991.

How does Estonia rank?

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator GC.XPN.GSRV.CN, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Government Finance Statistics Yearbook and data files, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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