Chile: Refugees under the mandate of the UNHCR by country or territory of asylum

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2025, Chile's refugees under the mandate of the UNHCR by country or territory of asylum rose 7.7% on 2024 (from 2,443 to 2,631).

Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1995 to 2024), the average change was +9% and a typical year strayed about 12.2% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.1 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.

On record, the biggest yearly rise was 97.2% in 1992 and the biggest yearly fall was 80.7% in 1990. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2016 to 2025 the straight-line trend is upward, about 84.95 a year. A straight line explains 91% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 2,693 for 2028. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2023 to 2025 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 242.52, against 337.67 for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

In 2025, Chile had the 112th highest value of the 168 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Chile in the 2025 ranking

• Gambia, The — 109th of 168: 4,108
• Uruguay — 110th of 168: 3,195
• Panama — 111th of 168: 2,694
• Tunisia — 113th of 168: 2,386
• Ukraine — 114th of 168: 2,370
• Guinea — 115th of 168: 2,154

What this measures

Refugees under the mandate of the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) include individuals recognized under the 1951 Convention relating to the Status of Refugees, its 1967 Protocol, the 1969 Organization of African Unity (OAU) Convention Governing the Specific Aspects of Refugee Problems in Africa, the refugee definition contained in the 1984 Cartagena Declaration on Refugees as incorporated into national laws, those recognized in accordance with the UNHCR Statute, individuals granted complementary forms of protection, and those enjoying temporary protection. The refugee population also includes people in a refugee-like situation, which is a category that is descriptive in nature and includes groups of people who are outside their country or territory of origin and who face protection risks similar to those of refugees, but for whom refugee status has, for practical or other reasons, not been ascertained. Refugees under the mandate of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA), Palestine Refugees, are not typically included in the statistics on refugees (and people in a refugee-like situation) under the mandate of the UNHCR.

Limitations: Inconsistencies in data collection standards across countries can complicate the comparability of refugee data globally, making it challenging to create uniform policies. The fluidity of refugee movements and states’ processing of status changes, such as shifts from asylum-seeker to refugee, can impact the timeliness of the data. Furthermore, political pressures may influence how governments report refugee figures, potentially leading to underreporting or misrepresentation of the situation.

All 55 values

Refugees under the mandate of the UNHCR by country or territory of asylum in nearby economies

• Argentina — 4,941 (2025)
• Aruba — 0 (2025)
• Bahamas, The — 10 (2025)
• Belize — 347 (2025)
• Bolivia — 1,147 (2025)
• Brazil — 278,966 (2025)
• Cayman Islands — 53 (2025)
• Colombia — 1,464 (2025)
• Costa Rica

More social protection & labor data for Chile

• Net migration — 51,712 (2025)
• Refugees under the mandate of the UNHCR by country or territory of origin — 5,358 (2025)
• Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) — 8.89% (2025)
• Unemployment, female (% of female labor force) (national estimate) — 9.56% (2025)
• Unemployment, male (% of male labor force) (national estimate) — 8.38% (2025)
• Labor force participation rate for ages 15-24, female (%) (national estimate) — 25.72% (2025)
• Labor force participation rate for ages 15-24, male (%) (national estimate) — 33.09% (2025)
• Labor force participation rate for ages 15-24, total (%) (national estimate) — 29.47% (2025)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Chile's refugees under the mandate of the UNHCR by country or territory of asylum?

2,631 in 2025, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 1969?

It is down 59.52% from 6,500 in 1969 (1.6% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 9,500 in 1973 and the lowest 58 in 1990.

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SM.POP.RHCR.EA, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Refugee Population Statistics Database, UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), uri: https://www.unhcr.org/refugee-statistics/download Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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