Central African Republic: Incidence of tuberculosis (per 100,000 people)

Key figures

What the numbers say

In 2024, Central African Republic's incidence of tuberculosis (per 100,000 people) fell 9 on 2023 (from 428 to 419).

Across the 23 yearly changes before that (2001 to 2023), the average change was −11 and a typical year strayed about 1.57 from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 1.3 standard deviations above that average, so it was larger than a typical year, though not out of the range seen before.

On record, the biggest yearly fall was 14 in 2001. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.

From 2015 to 2024 the straight-line trend is downward, about 9.28 a year. A straight line explains 100% of the movement over 10 observed years.

Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.

A straight-line projection, tested first

Extending that straight line gives about 389.29 for 2027. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2022 to 2024 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was 3.52, against 18 for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.

See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.

How it compares

In 2024, Central African Republic had the 10th highest value of the 208 economies reporting that year. Higher is not always better: for some indicators the lowest value is the one to aim for. See the full ranking.

Closest to Central African Republic in the 2024 ranking

• Myanmar — 7th of 208: 482
• Mongolia — 8th of 208: 446
• Namibia — 9th of 208: 422
• Marshall Islands — 11th of 208: 411
• South Africa — 12th of 208: 389
• Indonesia — 13th of 208: 382

What this measures

Incidence of tuberculosis is the estimated number of new and relapse tuberculosis cases arising in a given year, expressed as the rate per 100,000 population. All forms of TB are included, including cases in people living with HIV. Estimates for all years are recalculated as new information becomes available and techniques are refined, so they may differ from those published previously.

Limitations: The limited availability of data on health status is a major constraint in assessing the health situation in developing countries. Surveillance data are lacking for many major public health concerns. Estimates of prevalence and incidence are available for some diseases but are often unreliable and incomplete. National health authorities differ widely in capacity and willingness to collect or report information. To compensate for this and improve reliability and international comparability, the World Health Organization (WHO) prepares estimates in accordance with epidemiological models and statistical standards. Uncertainty bounds for the incidence are available at http://data.worldbank.org

Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a weighted average.

All 25 values

Incidence of tuberculosis (per 100,000 people) in nearby economies

• Angola — 373 (2024)
• Benin — 40 (2024)
• Botswana — 143 (2024)
• Burkina Faso — 57 (2024)
• Burundi — 83 (2024)
• Cabo Verde — 47 (2024)
• Cameroon — 132 (2024)
• Chad — 118 (2024)
• Comoros — 22 (2024)
• Congo, Dem. Rep. — 377 (2024)

More health data for Central African Republic

• Population ages 00-04, female (% of female population) — 17.99% (2025)
• Population ages 00-04, male (% of male population) — 19.74% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female — 1.33 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, female (% of female population) — 46.47% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male — 1.35 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, male (% of male population) — 51.07% (2025)
• Population ages 0-14, total — 2.68 million (2025)
• Population ages 0-14 (% of total population) — 48.68% (2025)
• Population ages 05-09, female (% of female population)

Reading data like this

• Where to find free public data, and how to check it before you trust it — 2 min read
• Data analysis examples: 6 worked from one dataset — 3 min read
• Real change or random noise? A plain guide to reading your numbers — 2 min read

Questions people ask

What is Central African Republic's incidence of tuberculosis (per 100,000 people)?

419 in 2024, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).

How has it changed since 2000?

It is down 38.47% from 681 in 2000 (2% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was 681 in 2000 and the lowest 419 in 2024.

How does Central African Republic rank?

Source

World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator SH.TBS.INCD, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: Global Tuberculosis Report, World Health Organization (WHO) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.

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