Bulgaria's external debt stocks, public and publicly guaranteed (PPG) (DOD, current US$) was US$15.87 billion in 2022, the latest year in the World Bank's World Development Indicators. That is up 170.95% from US$5.86 billion in 2012 (10.48% a year on average, compounded).
Key figures
| Value | Year | |
|---|---|---|
| Latest | US$15.87 billion | 2022 |
| Five years earlier | US$11.63 billion | 2017 |
| Ten years earlier | US$5.86 billion | 2012 |
| Highest | US$15.87 billion | 2022 |
| Lowest | US$772.74 million | 1981 |
| Average since 2013 | US$11.16 billion | 2013–2022 |
| First recorded | US$772.74 million |
What the numbers say
In 2022, Bulgaria's external debt stocks, public and publicly guaranteed (PPG) (DOD, current US$) rose 2.2% on 2021 (from US$15.53 billion to US$15.87 billion).
Across the 30 yearly changes before that (1992 to 2021), the average change was +2.7% and a typical year strayed about 16% from that (the standard deviation). This year's change was 0.0 standard deviations below that average, so it was an ordinary year: it sits within the range of normal year-to-year movement.
On record, the biggest yearly rise was 69.9% in 1982 and the biggest yearly fall was 31.5% in 2005. The numbers show how large and when, not why; for the cause, look at what happened in that country in those years.
From 2013 to 2022 the straight-line trend is upward, about US$1.22 billion a year. A straight line explains 91% of the movement over 10 observed years.
Worked out from the yearly values above. How the checks work: standard deviation, z-scores and straight-line trends.
A straight-line projection, tested first
Extending that straight line gives about US$19.7 billion for 2025. We show this only because the same method, fitted on earlier years, predicted 2020 to 2022 better than "no change" would have: its average miss was US$1.98 billion, against US$4.43 billion for assuming no change. Treat it as a continuation of the recent pattern, not a forecast of events: it cannot see a recession, a policy change or a revision to the data.
See how a linear trend forecast works and the guide on forecasting without fooling yourself.
Closest to Bulgaria in the 2022 ranking
- Russian Federation — 1st of 2: US$136.09 billion
What this measures
Public and publicly guaranteed debt comprises long-term external obligations of public debtors, including the national government, Public Corporations, State Owned Enterprises, Development Banks and Other Mixed Enterprises, political subdivisions (or an agency of either), autonomous public bodies, and external obligations of private debtors that are guaranteed for repayment by a public entity. Data are in current U.S. dollars.
Regional and income-group figures are computed by the World Bank as a sum.
All 42 values
| Year | External debt stocks, public and publicly guaranteed (PPG) (DOD, current US$) |
|---|---|
| 2022 | 15,870,682,188 |
| 2021 | 15,532,695,847 |
| 2020 | 15,446,886,787 |
| 2019 | 11,186,154,454 |
| 2018 | 11,505,915,003 |
| 2017 | 11,630,326,280 |
| 2016 | 11,050,212,745 |
| 2015 | 8,781,256,072 |
| 2014 | 5,901,794,588 |
| 2013 | 4,726,119,817 |
External debt stocks, public and publicly guaranteed (PPG) (DOD, current US$) in nearby economies
- Albania — US$5.08 billion (2024)
- Armenia — US$6.31 billion (2024)
- Azerbaijan — US$9.48 billion (2024)
- Belarus — US$16.33 billion (2024)
- Bosnia and Herzegovina — US$4.93 billion (2024)
- Georgia — US$9.98 billion (2024)
- Kazakhstan — US$34.03 billion (2024)
- Kosovo — US$732.22 million (2024)
More economic policy & debt data for Bulgaria
- Adjusted savings, education expenditure (% of GNI) — 4.06% (2021)
- Adjusted savings, net forest depletion (current US$) — US$0 (2021)
- Adjusted savings, mineral depletion (current US$) — US$387.76 million (2021)
- Adjusted savings, energy depletion (current US$) — US$46.2 million (2021)
- Trade in services (% of GDP) — 21.44% (2025)
- Communications, computer, etc. (% of service imports, BoP) — 37.95% (2025)
- Primary income payments (BoP, current US$) — US$11.11 billion (2025)
- Imports of goods and services (current US$, BoP) — US$67.93 billion (2025)
- Goods imports (current US$, BoP) — US$58.51 billion (2025)
Reading data like this
Questions people ask
- What is Bulgaria's external debt stocks, public and publicly guaranteed (PPG) (DOD, current US$)?
- US$15.87 billion in 2022, according to the World Bank (World Development Indicators).
- How has it changed since 1981?
- It is up 1,954% from US$772.74 million in 1981 (7.65% a year on average, compounded). The highest value was US$15.87 billion in 2022 and the lowest US$772.74 million in 1981.
Source
World Bank, World Development Indicators, indicator DT.DOD.DPPG.CD, licensed CC BY 4.0. Original source: International Debt Statistics, World Bank (WB) Figures are fetched from the World Bank API and refreshed monthly; see the series on data.worldbank.org. The full definition and method are in the World Bank's metadata glossary. Comparisons use the same World Bank release.
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